The case for silver and gold

Precious metals, namely gold and silver, have been backed by many to be a safe haven amid economic uncertainties. Currently, there are so much uncertainties surrounding investors like the US debt ceiling debacle, China’s raging growth and inflation and debt problem in Greece, among others. The price of silver and gold has been rising through the roofs and they have been breaking new highs frequently. As of Friday’s closing, gold is at US$1631.20/oz and US$40.10/oz for silver.

I have been a firm believer in silver and gold since I started reading a book called “Guide to Investing in Gold and Silver” by Michael Maloney back in July 2009. Michael Maloney belongs to the “Rich Dad Advisors” founded by the famous Robert Kiyosaki. I was converted after reading the many explanations espoused in the book. The one thing that is etched in my mind is that paper money can be printed whenever needed but gold and silver cannot be “printed” and is at a limited supply in the world. Paper money is backed to nothing – just thin air, but gold and silver will not lose its value at all.

Many value investors, including Warren Buffett, doesn’t believe  in buying gold and silver. Warren Buffett once said that he doesn’t buy into them as he doesn’t know how to value them unlike businesses. Below is what Warren had to say during a CNBC interview on 2nd March 2011:

BECKY (CNBC reporter): Well, speaking of gold, though, we’re looking at gold prices and they were at another record high. They’re up another $3 today, $1,434 an ounce. And there have been some big fat hedge fund managers, like a Paulson or a David Einhorn, who have really buckled down on these bids. Why would you steer clear? And do you think what they’re doing is the wrong thing?

BUFFETT: Well, I just don’t know. I don’t know whether cotton’s going to go up.


BUFFETT: I mean, we use a lot of cotton. I’ve watched it go from 80 cents to $1.90. You know, we use a lot of copper and I’ve watched it go from $2 to $4-plus, so I mean there’s all kinds of things in this world that are going to go up and down in price. You know, maybe hamburgers will tomorrow. And – but I – I’m – I don’t know how to judge that. I do know how to judge to some extent the earning power of some businesses. And the real test of whether you would like it as an investment is whether you would be happy if it never got quoted again, and just in terms of what the asset did for you. But that doesn’t – I will say this about gold, if you took all of the gold in the world it would roughly make a cube 67 feet on a side. So if you took all the gold in the world, we could have a cube that went down there 67 feet…

BECKY: Uh-huh.

BUFFETT: …67 feet high and that would be the whole thing. Now for that same cube of gold it would be worth at today’s market prices about $7 trillion. That’s probably about a third of the value of all the stocks in the United States. So you could have a choice of owning a third of all the stocks in the United States or you could have a choice of owning that little block of gold, which can’t do anything but kind of shine there and make you feel like Midas or Croesus or something of the sort. Now, for $7 trillion, there are roughly a billion of farm – acres of farmland in the United States. They’re valued at about $2 1/2 trillion. It’s about half the continental United States, this farmland. You could have all the farmland in the United States, you could have about seven Exxon Mobiles, and you could have $1 trillion of walking around money. And if you offered me the choice of looking at some 67-foot cube of gold and looking at it all day, you know, I mean touching it and fondling it occasionally, you know, and then saying, you know, `Do something for me,’ and it says, `I don’t do anything. I just stand here and look pretty.’ And the alternative to that was to have all the farmland of the country, everything, cotton, corn, soybeans, seven Exxon Mobiles. Just think of that. Add $1 trillion of walking around money. I, you know, maybe call me crazy but I’ll take the farmland and the Exxon Mobiles.

For myself, I believe in gold and silver and will keep them for the longest term. I believe that the value of these metals will only rise due to the fundamental reason that they cannot be “printed”. What are your thoughts? Please share them in the comments section.

Tiger Got Mauled

Tiger Airways has been banned from flying until next Saturday in Australia, following a serious safety breach on Thursday. The Australian Transport Safety Bureau confirmed it was investigating the latest incident at Avalon Airport, near Geelong, on Thursday night in which a plane is understood to have dropped 900ft below the 2500ft safe minimum height.

Tiger has also been given the Civil Aviation Safety Authority (CASA) show-cause notice to improve the proficiency of Tiger’s pilots, improvements to pilot training and checking processes, changes to fatigue management as well as improvements to maintenance control and ongoing airworthiness systems.

Today, on the first day of trading after the ban, Tiger Airway’s stock price plunged 15.97% to close at $1. Is this just a small blip for Tiger or is this the start of more woes? Only time will tell.

Self-entertainment on a Sunday night

I happened to chance upon a tool in my blog admin site just moments ago. Under the “Stats” section, I can check out the search terms keyed in the search engine that brought netizens to my blog. Below is a screenshot of this page: I’m proud to say that my site has been ranked in the top few search queries for particular search items. For example, for “reit financial statements”, my site is ranked 2nd. For “sti pe ratio”, my site is 3rd. And for “the economy works in cycles”, my site is ranked 1st! Sorry, I’m just entertaining myself on a Sunday night…  :D